A Tie Goes to the Runner

The damned Democrats and the damned Republicans arguably fought to a draw on Tuesday, with the damned Democrats gaining a narrow majority in the House of Representatives and the damned Republicans slightly padding their slight control of the Senate. From our perspective here on the political sidelines in the middle of America, though, the results reveal several trends the Republicans should be worried about.
Kansas has been a reliably Republican state ever since its bloody entry to the Union as a free state just as the rest of the country’s Civil War was starting, but this turned out to be a pretty good year for the Democrats around here. Longtime state legislator and reassuringly boring centrist Democratic nominee Laura Kelly won the governorship over Republican nominee Kris Kobach, America’s most hard-line anti-immigration Secretary of State and a steadfast ally of full-throated endorser President Donald Trump, and the Democrats seem to have won two of the state’s four congressional seats, with one going to a reassuringly boring white centrist man and the other to a Native American lesbian kick-boxer.
Most of the reassuringly centrist Republicans on the statewide down-ballot races are currently leading and likely to win, but about half of the state’s legislative Republican majorities endorsed the Democrat in the governor’s race and are inclined work with the more centrists Democrats, and here in our very diverse district of Sedgwick County we’ve elected a Democratic and tattooed and folk-rock-singing single mother to replace America’s most hard-line anti-government Republican county commissioner.
Around the rest of the country the Republicans can rightly point to some hard-fought won races, including the closer than usual wins in the much-watcged Georgia gubernatorial and Texas Senate contests, but Republicans should also admit how much closer than usual they were. This year’s Senate races were the result of the anomalous ’12 election races, when several of the damned Democrats triumphed for reasons we can’t recall over the damned Republicans in some normally reliable Republican states, so it’s embarrassing the Grand Old Party of Trump didn’t do much better. Those one=third of the Senate races reflect the electoral college that elected Trump president, but the heavy turnout in the House races reflect the popular vote that he lost by three million votes, and at this late date on election night we’re still looking at the too-close-call elections in the five states Trump won by narrow margins to become president,
Those Second and Third Kansas congressional districts in Kansas are largely compromised of the Kansas City metropolitan area’s suburbs, and the state’s reliably Republican legislatures and governors have gerrymandered in plenty of rural Kansas as well, yet they’re still the sort of reliably Republican districts the Republicans have been consistently losing ever since Trump got elected. Both districts are approximately half-female, unusually well-educated and well-off, and Trump’s Republicans should be asking themselves why these bitches and elitists aren’t voting for them. Even here in Kansas, it’s hard for Republicans to win without well-educated and well-off white women, who are by large measures grossed out by Trump.
Trump is still the president and you’re not, though, and the damned Republicans have enough votes in the Senate to acquit him on any impeachment charges the damned Democrats might bring against him in the House, not matter what the special counsel into the “Russia thing” might reveal, and for now we’ll call it a draw, with the Republicans having reason to worry.
At this point we’ll only venture a prediction that Trump takes full credit for the Republicans retaining the Senate, accept no blame for his party losing the House, and that the next couple of years at least will prove dreary,

— Bud Norman


The Reality Show in Georgia and Kansas

There’s an intriguing gubernatorial race coming to a close down in Georgia, where the polls show longtime state legislator and Democrat nominee Stacey Abrams within striking distance of becoming the nation’s first black woman governor with an upset victory over Georgia Secretary of State and Republican nominee and boringly white male Brian Kemp, and it makes for some very compelling television.
On Thursday this latest spin-off of the reality television show that is now American politics featured former talk-show hostess and billionaire media mogul and famously black woman Oprah Winfrey stumping for Abrams, while Vice President of the United States and boringly white male Mike Pence was making a pitch for Kemp. Judging by the headlines Winfrey brought more star power to the state than Pence, who wound up telling a sizable rally crowd that “I’m kind of a big deal, too.” As far as we’re concerned it was a pretty clever line, as the Abrams campaign was also being visited by the often annoying yet frequently funny comic actor Will Ferrell, whose pompous “Ron Burgundy” character in the “Anchorman” movies has the catchphrase “I’m kind of a big deal,” but even to the extent the crowd got the obscure pop-cultural reference it was still a revealingly self-deprecating joke.
We’ve always hated the way those damned Democrats deploy their big-name celebrities with no discernible relevant political knowledge into the public debates, but in this age of former reality star and current President of the United States Donald “You’re Fired” Trump we can’t see where the damned Republicans have any moral ground to stand on to grouse about it. We’ve also long lamented how those damned Democrats make such a big deal of race and sex and class and sexual predilection and what not, but lately we’ve noticed that many of our fellow boringly white male middle-class heteros are doing the same. At this point, we’ll leave it to the people of Georgia to elect their next governor.
All politics is local, as we still like to believe, and the average Georgian is at least as well apprised of his state’s issues as we are, so we’ll trust them to settle it out. From this safe distance we note that Abrams has substantial debt, including to the government, but she seems to have won the debt-laden vote with the same deftness that Trump made a virtue of his past business bankruptcies and foreign debts and “that makes me smart” tax dodges. As acting Secretary of State the Republican nominee Kemp has challenged tens of of thousands of voter registrations, inordinately of black voters, but with help from the likes of Winfrey that’s likely to spur more than tens of thousands of extra black votes. There are probably issues about taxes and funding the schools and roads and other persistent problems of the real world, which concern every race and class and sexual predilection and what not of the human race, but we’ll also happily leave that to the Georgians, as we’ve got our own problems here in Kansas.
Here in Kansas and Sedgwick County and Wichita the races are pretty tight, except for the first congressional district race where the endearingly boring white male and old-fashioned establishment Republican incumbent is cruising toward another notch in a well-deserved undefeated win streak for the party. Although we expect the Trump-ish yet exceedingly boring white guy running as the Republican candidate here in the Fourth District to win by less than the usual Republican margin over a white guy candidate who’s lately gone too far left, those suburban Kansas City second and third districts to the east seem likely to to yield the Democrats a rare Kansas congressional seat, with one being contested by a boringly centrist white Democratic guy and the other by a Native American lesbian kick-boxer.
There’s also a good chance the state will be electing its third Democratic woman governor, too, and it should worry the Republicans everywhere that all of Kansas’ living past Republican governors but one and two of the three living past Republican senators and nearly half of the current Republicans in the state legislature and such longtime Republicans as ourselves will be voting for her. It’s mostly for complicated local political reasons we can’t take time to get into here, but we admit the countrywide craziness also plays its part.

— Bud Norman